Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.823049 4.439653 5.091566 5.829010 6.636883 7.491967 8.462381
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.873108 3.714483 4.666595 5.810425 7.133961 8.604605 10.349371
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.366211 3.370279 4.576069 6.098773 7.938642 10.059817 12.659485
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.887582 2.964942 4.336346 6.150856 8.430150 11.143365 14.560947
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.627805 2.786591 4.336898 6.467900 9.228222 12.595809 16.925732
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.400935 2.609140 4.304152 6.717198 9.929649 13.933684 19.173229
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.177262 2.394542 4.186804 6.827588 10.436335 15.025236 21.127882
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.951206 2.133397 3.966965 6.766781 10.695169 15.790366 22.673668
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.811914 1.987691 3.895802 6.898117 11.202655 16.875234 24.634582
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.692675 1.853466 3.823387 7.013057 11.679520 17.919659 26.552500
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.546267 1.636726 3.592057 6.867857 11.774094 18.445404 27.793350
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.426472 1.443264 3.373674 6.719594 11.846557 18.930252 28.976394
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.338675 1.298487 3.226207 6.676976 12.077498 19.648455 30.502698
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.261884 1.155770 3.063628 6.595293 12.242242 20.274530 31.914215
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.234058 1.131463 3.120842 6.878749 12.964291 21.694332 34.423986
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.188602 1.042476 3.039972 6.920036 13.312547 22.588041 36.225298
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.172676 1.037768 3.128209 7.255897 14.124387 24.155707 38.973649
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.153352 1.015601 3.176686 7.521694 14.830652 25.580810 41.541065
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.127207 0.959092 3.144438 7.639057 15.301876 26.670440 43.653192
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.095754 0.865205 3.016630 7.572402 15.472245 27.319771 45.153789
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.079306 0.823904 3.003011 7.713810 15.979586 28.468685 47.367196
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.064754 0.782044 2.982067 7.837686 16.457685 29.577544 49.532164
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044061 0.688892 2.821108 7.680780 16.462912 29.977671 50.690716